To account for trending in short-range model guidance, I've shifted everything south by about 20 miles. It's now live-casting time. This keeps most of Ocean and Burlington County on south through Cape May County in the heavier accumulation axis. The spread is 8-14 because there is that much uncertainty. Most of SNJ will start as rain this evening before changing over to snow. This will happen quickly once the frontal boundary crashes south (before midnight). It should be snowing in SNJ by 10PM. This storm should then dump snow from Midnight through tomorrow afternoon and taper off by tomorrow night. The bottom line here is that NNJ will see the least snow, CNJ will see significant-to-heavy snow, and SNJ will hit the jackpot. Be safe!