2-week North America Outlook: The first 15 days of February certainly came in like a lion trending the 2nd coldest and 2nd snowiest of the past 25+ years for the U.S. as a whole and 1st snowiest in 30 years for the Northeast.

THIS WEEK: a February thaw warm up with the U.S. as a whole trending the warmest and driest in 3 years and only some light snow the 17th in the Midwest, 18th in the Northeast and 21st in New England (none look particularly big). A big warm surge will sweep the U.S. mid-week but all good things come to an end with another Arctic Cold Front moving into the Plains the 21st, Midwest 23rd and off the East Coast by the 24th ushering in much colder weather for the Eastern 1/2 of North America.

WEEK 2: the month will end with the coldest conditions in 4 years and driest in 12 for the U.S. overall. Bigger snow events still very likely with the 27th in the Great Lakes a favored period and 28th for the entire Northeast (TBD on exact timing and amounts but we think March will bring much above average snowfall to the Great Lakes and Northeast). March 1st looks to come in like a lion with the coldest conditions for the U.S. overall in 18 years.

So - enjoy the brief warm up later this week as it won't last.