I think that the future for current organ/arrangers (Closed or Open) is bleak and they will most likely become extinct. (Youngsters just don’t want them)
Couldn't disagree more.
Open keyboards cannot be labelled as “Arrangers” for a start because that's only one function of an endless list of possibilities they can be used for. The way I see things going is that workstations will evolve into Open keyboards, and the arranger functions will make their way into an equivalent type Open product purely for the hardware controls and dedicated buttons.
There will still be dedicated closed workstations and arrangers, but they will survuve only as lower end models.
The Organ keyboard/Single keyboard will however continue as controllers, with a high power computer/memory system inside (With full internet connectivity) combined with an iPhone/Touch docking station. (Competitors will no doubt get a look in in small numbers)
The name Organ will die, but controllers will become far more popular as more options like the Lionstrac Rack, Open Labs Sound Slate, V-Machine / V-Rack come on the market.
Downloading of Apps is so ingrained in the Youngsters of today that anything else will probably not be accepted by them. (Kids today want download what THEY want, not what the manufacture tells them they can have)
Agreed, and because of the open platform they have to run all the software on, you will see many of the big names in the business right now die off too as in the future they will have to compete with one guy sitting at home in his spare time writing VSTi's.
Look at Super Wave P8 for example. It's one of those DIY Synth Edt creations that was probably knocked together in a few weeks of spare time and it's one of the most popular free VSTi's on the face of the planet.
The above is purely my opinion, but after talking to many youngsters, it seems that this is what they want, and there is no chance that they would ever consider a Closed/Open keyboard/Organ that had anything other than the basics on it, so that they could add what they want.
As with everything I said about, it's only my opinion.
I just think the days of having incremental upgrades is no longer good enough. People want more. The limitations in workstations and arrangers right now is totally unacceptable considering the technology available. Think about it, the Audya with it's 64MB of RAM for example, and me loading sound over 1GB in size into my little V-Machine and even more into the Meidastation.
Regards
James